[Review of key data today]
France August trade account (100 million) Published value -45.14 Previous value -59.68 Predicted value -54
[Today's Global Holidays Announcement]
Due to the National Day holiday, both the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange are closed.
Due to the Mid-Autumn Festival, the Seoul Stock Exchange of Korea was closed for the fourth day, today is the fourth day.
Due to the National Day holiday, the Shanghai Futures Exchange will be closed from October 1st to 8th.
Due to the National Day holiday, the Shanghai Gold Exchange of China will be closed from September 30th to October 8th.
(For more details, please pay attention to the newsletter official website)
[Oil market, gold market and foreign exchange market]
First, the international oil market:
Crude oil sub-dish is filled with cautious atmosphere, new tropical storm approaches Gulf of Mexico
The oil market was cautious on Friday (October 6), traders were concerned about the tropical storm approaching the Gulf of Mexico, and the Chinese market was still closed for the 11-day holiday. But the prospect of a cut in production led by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) may help to support oil prices.
US oil 15 minutes chart
Oil 15 minutes chart
Second, the global gold market
Non-agricultural heavy hits in gold into a narrow range of trading or will fall below the 1260 mark
On Friday (October 6th), the first weekly ending of Golden October, the international gold price fell into a narrow range of trading, during the Asian trading session, as the US dollar rose to a high of more than seven weeks, the dollar was denominated Gold buying demand, London spot gold hit a low of 1267.63 US dollars / ounce since August 9, the European trading session rebounded to near the flat, as investors wait for non-agricultural data to announce, looking for the Fed to raise interest rates clues, trading cautious . Technical analysts believe that the spot gold may fall further to $1,260, given that the support level of $1,270 has fallen.
Spot gold 15 minutes chart III, global currency market
The US dollar is expected to be on the rise of the weekly market.
The US dollar kicked off the October deal with a high-profile trend this week. The embarrassment of the US tax reform, coupled with the US economic data to strengthen the expectation of raising interest rates at the end of the year, makes the trend of the US dollar this week smooth.
Although the US dollar index fell from a one-and-a-half-month high on Wednesday, due to market speculation that US President Trump’s next Fed chairmanship may not be as strong as the previous candidate, the intraday high touched 94.016 on Friday. Since the 17th high since the 17th, the weekly line is expected to close for the fifth consecutive week. This is due to the embarrassment of the US to promote the tax reform plan, and the US economic data to strengthen the expectation that the Fed will raise interest rates before the end of this year, making investors increasingly believe that interest rate market prices underestimate the US interest rate hike in the next few months. The possibility to cut some dollar short positions.
US dollar index 15 minutes chart
[Today's financial news review]
I. International Financial News
[Spain Catalonia Parliament will meet on Monday]
Catalonia’s head of foreign affairs, Raul Romeva, said on Friday that the regional council will meet on Monday, ignoring the judicial process of containing independent advocates. Raul Romeva told the BBC that the Catalonia Regional Council will decide whether to be independent. This will exacerbate the stalemate between the independent Italians and the Spanish central government. Affected by this news, the yield of Spanish government bonds rose.
[Halifax: UK's house price growth in September is the biggest since February]
According to data from Halifax, the UK's leading home lender, prices in the UK regained momentum in September, and buyers have left the possibility of a rate hike by the Bank of England. In September, house prices rose 0.8% from the previous month, higher than the estimates of all analysts in the Reuters survey. House prices in the three months to September rose 4.0% from a year earlier, and the market average was 3.6%. House prices rose by 1.4% in the three months to September, the biggest increase since February.
[UK's second-quarter productivity slowdown compared to the fastest record since 2013]
According to official data, in the 12 months after the British referendum retired, economic productivity fell at the same rate as the fastest since 2013. According to the National Bureau of Statistics (ONS), hourly output in the second quarter of 2017 fell by 0.3% year-on-year, and the last decline exceeded that level in the third quarter of 2013. In the second quarter, unit labor costs increased by 1.6% over the same period of the previous year, the smallest increase over the past year, and an increase of 2.4% in the previous quarter.
[U.S. non-agricultural jobs in September are expected to increase by only 90,000, and the increase in the short term is suppressed by windstorms]
The growth rate of non-agricultural jobs in the United States may slow down further in September, as Hurricane Harvey and Irma temporarily unemployed some workers forced to leave their homes, which also hindered employment. This will be a hurricane that will affect the third quarter economic activity in the United States. The latest signs. Analysts surveyed by Reuters survey expect that the employment report released by the US Department of Labor on Friday is expected to increase 90,000 non-agricultural jobs in September. In August, it was increased by 156,000. The estimated increase in September will be the second lowest this year, and far lower than the average monthly increase of 175,000 in the previous 12 months.
Mei Lan phase or not to protect the pound / US approaching the 1.30 pass Reuters survey: back to 1.33 after one month]
British Prime Minister Teresa May is very likely to be unprotected. This worry makes the pound's decline this week difficult, and the dollar is rising across the board. The pound against the dollar will hit the worst weekly performance in October 2016. However, a survey shows that the market is still optimistic about the trend of the pound against the dollar in the coming month.
Second, domestic financial news
Happy news! Hong Kong stocks closed up nearly 3.2 years, the highest National Day holiday rose 3.28%]
On Friday (October 6th), the Hong Kong stock market hit a good news, opening a 0.87% increase, breaking through the 2015 Hong Kong stock "big age" high point, a record high since December 2007. After a slight decline, the Hang Seng Index rose 0.28% to 28,458.04 points, the highest closing price since the end of 2007. Throughout the National Day holiday, the Hang Seng Index rose 3.28%, the biggest increase in 12 weeks. The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index has soared by 29.24% so far this year.
[Hengda Sunac's share price hits a new high in history. Xujia's worth is close to 300 billion to stabilize China's richest man]
As of the close of the day, Hong Kong-listed real estate developer China Evergrande reported HK$31.5/share, up 2.44%, with a total market capitalization of HK$413.7 billion; Sunac China reported HK$41.9/share, up 4.75%, with a total market value of HK$173.2 billion. . Both companies' share prices have reached record highs. According to the Forbes real-time rich list, Xu Jiayin, the chairman of Evergrande's board of directors, is worth $43.8 billion (about 291.4 billion yuan, ranking first in the world's richest list. Ranked 14th in the global rich list. Since 2017, Evergrande has accumulated The increase was at least 839%, and the cumulative increase in Sunac reached 847%.
[On the sixth day of the long holiday, the country received 67 million tourists]
According to the comprehensive calculation of the National Tourism Administration Data Center, on October 6, the country received 67 million domestic tourists, a year-on-year increase of 12.3%, and achieved domestic tourism revenue of 54.6 billion yuan, an increase of 15.1%.
[It is estimated that China will become the world's largest flat panel display production area around 2019]
According to the latest data from the China Electronics Video Association and the China Optical Optoelectronics Industry Association LCD Branch, the investment in flat-panel display production lines under construction and announced in China has reached 800 billion yuan. Among them, LCD panel investment exceeded 500 billion yuan. It is estimated that China will become the world's largest flat panel display production base around 2019.
[Global stock market]
--Asia--
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index closed up 0.28% on October 6 (Friday), at 28458.04 points
Taiwan's weighted index closed 0.1% higher on October 6 (Friday), at 10,532.81 points
Japan's East China Index rose 0.3% on October 6 (Friday) to 1687.16 points
Japan's Nikkei 225 index closed 0.3% higher on October 6 (Friday), at 20,690.71 points
Australia's S&P/ASX 200 stock index closed up 1% on Friday, October 6th, at 5710.70 points
--Europe--
The UK's FTSE 100 index opened 0.14% higher on October 6 (Friday), at 7507.79 points
France's CAC40 index fell 0.02% on October 6 (Friday), to 5,371.21 points
Germany's DAX index opened 0.12% on Friday, October 6th, at 12968.05 points
Spain's IBEX35 index fell 0.26% on October 6 (Friday), to 10214.70 points
Italy's FTSE index fell 0.10% on October 6 (Friday), to 22,542.37 points
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